Mercury Music Prize Betting 2016

Sep 14, 2016

The Mercury Music Prize has always tried to toe the line between credibility and popularity and this can make it a difficult one to predict as you can never quite be sure if the judges are going to go for the popular vote, or try to vote for some relatively unknown artist in the hope of gaining some kudos by playing some kind of musical one-upmanship on the common man (see big price winners in the past – Speech Debelle or last years winner Benjamin Clementine).

This year’s list is lead by David Bowies epic farewell album ‘Blackstar’, and whilst nobody could deny that Bowie was one of the greatest pop stars ever to grace this planet, it would certainly be a sharp left turn in terms of form for the judges to pick this one. Past winners have usually been for debut, or break through albums, and it’s never been won by a musical heavyweight. And whilst Bowie’s back catalogue is hard to beat in terms of quality, Blackstar would not rank as one of his best, and would the Mercury prize lose a little credibility by giving it posthumously to Bowie based on his musical heritage rather than another rising star based on merit?

So with a favourite we don’t fancy at odds on (best priced 4/6) we know there will be value in the field somewhere, and here is tips and stats top pick:

Skepta – Konichiwa – 10/1 betfred

Given the rise in popularity of grime music in recent years it’s a surprise that there hasn’t been a grime artist win this prestigious award since Dizzy Rascal had us all in a spin 13 years ago.

Grime music seems to have had its most successful year to date with the NME describing Konichiwa as a highpoint in a phenomenal year for grime (the same publication gave Skepta’s album a 5/5 gold star review describing it as a landmark in British music). 

This album ticks many boxes, and Skepta would certainly be a worthy winner having recently come off a big label and setting up his own (boy better know). This DIY album will take some beating, and no matter what happens, Skepta will be keeping his feet firmly on the ground:

“People tell them they are an artist and that they’re big, and that’s what they become. I’m never gonna become that person that everyone tells me I am.”

Back Skepta to win the Mercury Music Prize 2019 – 10/1 Betfred

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